SUPRC's polls have tracked elections for Governor and US Senate, as well as national, statewide and local issues in many states, including: Rhode Island, Connecticut, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, Nevada, Colorado, California, Illinois, New Jersey, Missouri, Kentucky, Oregon and Indiana.
Nov. 5, 2012
Presidential Bellwethers
November 5, 2012
Presidential Bellwethers
November 5, 2012
Press Release: Key Presidential Bellwethers Show Close Election
Statement of Methodology: The IDs of 300 likely voters for each bellwether were conducted November 1-4 using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5.65 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.
Oct. 22, 2012
Ohio Presidential General Election
October 22, 2012
Marginals
Marginals (PDF)
Tables
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: Presidential Race is Neck-and-Neck in Ohio
Statement of Methodology: This statewide survey of 600 likely Ohio voters was conducted October 18-21, 2012 using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/- 4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.
Oct. 11, 2012
Nevada Presidential General Election
October 11, 2012
Marginals
Marginals (PDF)
Tables
Cross-Tabs (PDF)
Press Release: Nevada Poll Shows Obama Edging Romney
Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 registered Nevada voters was conducted October 6-9, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.
Sep. 27, 2012
Virginia Presidential General Election
September 27, 2012
Marginals
Marginals (PDF)
Tables
Cross-Tabs (PDF)
Press Release: Suffolk University/NBC12 Poll Shows Obama Clinging to a 2-Point Lead in VA
Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 600 likely Virginia general election voters was conducted September 24-26, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.
Mar. 5, 2012
Ohio Republican Presidential Primary
March 5, 2012
Marginals
Marginals - PDF
Tables
Cross-Tabs - PDF
Press Release: Ohio Poll Shows Santorum Edging Romney
Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 likely Ohio Republican Primary voters was conducted March 3-4, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. All respondents indicated that they were “very likely” to vote in Tuesday’s Republican Primary or had “already voted.” The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.
Oct. 29, 2010
Virginia Governor's Race & Bellwethers
October 29, 2010
Marginals
Marginals - (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Henrico County - (PDF)
Press Release: McDonnell Leads Deeds by 14 Points in Virginia
Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University statewide poll was conducted Oct. 26 through Oct. 28, 2009, using live interviewers. The margin of error on the study of 400 is +/- 5 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Virginia statewide survey were likely voters. Separate from the statewide study, there were 250 respondents identified from Henrico County on Oct. 27 and 28.
Oct. 26, 2010
California US Senate & Bellwethers
October 26, 2010
Marginals
Marginals (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs (PDF)
Bellwether Results
San Benito County (PDF)
Press Release: Suffolk Poll of California: Incumbent Boxer with 9 Point Lead for U.S. Senate
Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 600 California likely voters was conducted Oct. 21-24, 2010 using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The San Benito County bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 10/23-10/24. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.
Oct. 21, 2010
Connecticut US Senate & Governor
October 21, 2010
Marginals
Marginals (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Town of Plainfield (PDF)
Press Release: Suffolk Poll: Democrats Leading for Governor and U.S. Senate in Connecticut
Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 Connecticut likely voters was conducted with live telephone interviews Oct. 19-20, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The town of Plainfield bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 10/19-10/20. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.
Oct. 13, 2010
Nevada US Senate Race & Bellwethers
October 13, 2010
Marginals
Marginals (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Nye County (PDF)
Press Release: Suffolk University Poll Shows Harry Reid with 3 Point Lead in Tight Nevada Senate Race
Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 Nevada likely voters was conducted Oct. 8-11, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The Nye County bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 10/10-10/11. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.
Oct. 7, 2010
Ohio Governor & US Senator & Bellwethers
October 7, 2010
Marginals
Marginals (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tab (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Clark County (PDF)
Press Release: Suffolk University Poll of Ohio: Republicans Leading for U.S. Senator and Governor
Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 Ohio likely voters was conducted Oct. 4-6, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The Clark County bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 10/5-10/6. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.
Oct. 4, 2010
Illinois US Senate, Governor & Bellwethers
October 4, 2010
Marginals
Marginals (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Randolph County (PDF)
Press Release: Suffolk University Poll Shows Democrat Quinn Leading for Governor in Illinois
Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 Illinois likely voters was conducted Sept. 30 – Oct. 3, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The Randolph County bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 10/2-10/3. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.
Sep. 28, 2010
Pennsylvania US Senate, Governor & Bellwethers
September 28, 2010
Marginals
Marginals (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Erie County (PDF)
Press Release: Suffolk University Poll Shows Republicans Lead for Senate, Governor
Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 Pennsylvania registered voters was conducted Sept. 24-27, 2010 using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The Erie County bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 9/26-9/27. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.
Jun. 3, 2010
Nevada US Senate GOP Primary
June 3, 2010
Marginals
Marginals - (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Press Release: Angle Leading in Nevada GOP Primary for U.S. Senate
Statement of Methodology: Suffolk University conducted the Republican Primary poll using live telephone interviews on Tuesday June 1, through Wednesday, June 2, 2010. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 400 is +/- 4.90 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents were likely Republican voters in the Nevada Primary to be held Tuesday, June 8.
May 13, 2010
Pennsylvania GOP & Democratic Primaries
May 13, 2010
Marginals
Democratic Primary - (PDF)
Republican Primary - (PDF)
Cross Tabs
Democratic Primary - (PDF)
Republican Primary - (PDF)
Bellwethers
York County, Democratic - (PDF)
Press Release: Suffolk University Poll of Primaries in Pennsylvania
Statement of Methodology: Suffolk University conducted two separate Primary polls through live telephone interviews. Each was fielded Monday, May 11, through Wednesday, May 13, 2010. The margin of error on each statewide survey of 400 is +/- 4.90 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely Democratic or Republican voters in the respective Pennsylvania Primaries to be held Tuesday, May 18.
Apr. 30, 2010
Ohio US Senate Democratic Primary
April 30, 2010
Marginals
Marginals - (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Erie County - (PDF)
Press Release: Poll Shows Fisher Breaking Away in Ohio Democratic Primary
Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University statewide Democratic Primary poll was conducted was conducted by live telephone interviews Tuesday, April 27, through Thursday, April 29, 2010. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 400 is +/- 4.90 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely Democratic voters in the Ohio U.S. Senate Primary to be held Tuesday, May 4.
Oct. 26, 2009
New Jersey Governor
October 26, 2009
Marginals
Marginals - (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Gloucester County - (PDF)
Press Release: Corzine Leads Christie By 9 Points In NJ Gubernatorial Race
Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University statewide poll was conducted Oct. 22 through Oct. 25, 2009. The margin of error on the study of 400 is +/- 5 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the New Jersey statewide survey were likely voters. Separate from the statewide study, there were 350 respondents identified from Gloucester County on Oct. 24 and 25.
Jun. 4, 2009
Virginia Governor Democratic Primary
June 4, 2009
Marginals
Marginals (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs (PDF)
Bellwethers
Accomack County Bellwether (PDF)
Areas of Virginia (PDF)
Press Release: Undecideds Key in VA Democratic Gubernatorial Primary
Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University statewide poll was conducted June 1 through June 3, 2009 using live interviewers. The margin of error on the study of 500 is +/- 4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were registered voters in Virginia who indicated they would vote in the Democratic Primary and could identify the correct timeframe of the Democratic Primary. The Virginia Democratic Primary Accomack County bellwether included 748 respondents phoned on June 2 and June 3, 2009.
Oct. 28, 2008
Nevada Presidential General Election
October 28, 2008
Marginals
Marginals - (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Washoe County - (PDF)
Press Release: Obama Surges to 10-Point Lead in Nevada
Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted Thursday Oct. 23 through Monday Oct. 27. The margin of error on the study of 450 is +/- 4.6 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Nevada statewide survey were likely voters. There were 299 respondents in the bellwether of Washoe County, Nev., identified separately from the statewide poll.
Oct. 27, 2008
Florida General Presidential Election
October 27, 2008
Marginals
Marginals - (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Hillsborough County - (PDF)
Monroe County - (PDF)
Press Release: Obama Leads by 5% in Sunshine State
Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted Thursday October 23, 2008, through Sunday, October 26, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Florida statewide survey were likely voters. There were 303 respondents each from the bellwethers of Hillsborough and Monroe counties respectively, identified separately from the statewide poll.
Oct. 20, 2008
Ohio & Missouri Presidential General Election
October 20, 2008
Ohio
Marginals - (PDF)
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Perry County - (PDF)
Missouri
Marginals - (PDF)
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Platte County - (PDF)
Press Release: Obama Leads by 9 in Ohio, McCain Edges in Missouri
Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University Ohio poll was conducted Thursday, Oct. 16, 2008, through Sunday, Oct. 19, 2008. The Missouri poll was conducted Friday, Oct. 17, 2008, through Sunday, Oct. 19, 2008. The margin of error on each study of 600 is +/- 4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from both surveys were likely voters from Ohio and Missouri. Separate from the statewide poll, there were 312 respondents from the Ohio bellwether of Perry County and 204 respondents from the Missouri bellwether of Platte County.
Oct. 14, 2008
Colorado Presidential General Election
October 14, 2008
Marginals
Marginals - (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Alamosa County - (PDF)
Press Release: Barack Obama Clings to 4 Point Lead in Colorado
Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted Friday, October 10, 2008, through Monday, October 13, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Colorado statewide survey were likely voters from all parties in Colorado. Separate from the statewide poll, there were 300 respondents from Alamosa County, Colo.
Oct. 6, 2008
Virginia Presidential General Election & Bellwethers
October 6, 2008
Marginals
Marginals - (PDF)
Tables
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Accomack County - (PDF)
Chesapeake City - (PDF)
Press Release: Obama Overpowering McCain in Virginia
Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted Friday, October 3, 2008, through Sunday, October 5, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Virginia statewide survey were likely voters. In the bellwether polls, there were 282 respondents from Chesapeake city and 303 respondents from Accomack County, and both were surveyed separately from the statewide poll.
Aug. 25, 2008
Colorado
Marginals - (PDF)
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Alamosa County, CO - (PDF)
Press Release: Obama Leads McCain by 5 Percent in Colorado
May 19, 2008
Kentucky
Marginals (PDF)
Cross Tabs (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Montgomery County (PDF)
Oregon
Marginals (PDF)
Cross Tabs (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Marion County (PDF)
Press Release: Clinton Solid in Kentucky; Oregon is Obama’s in Tight Race
May 12, 2008
West Virginia
Marginals - (PDF)
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Bellwether Results
Mason County - (PDF)
Press Release: Poll Predicts 36-Point Clinton Landslide in W. Virginia
May 6, 2008
Indiana Democratic Presidential Primary
May 6, 2008
Delaware County Bellwether Results
Frequencies (PDF)
Press Release: Indiana Bellwether Points to Clinton Win
Statement of Methodology: Suffolk University interviewed 361 likely Democratic voters from a randomly selected list of 5,000 residents of Delaware County, Ind. All phoning took place on Sunday, May 4, and Monday, May 5, 2008. There was an equal probability of contacting and interviewing registered voters of all party affiliations, provided that they identified themselves as very likely or somewhat likely to take a Democratic ballot on Tuesday. The execution of the identification interviews was by live telephone call.
May 5, 2008
Indiana
Marginals - (PDF)
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Press Release: Poll: Clinton Leads Obama in Hoosier State
Apr. 22, 2008
Pennsylvania- Bellwether Results
Frequencies (PDF)
Press Release: Bellwether Points to Clinton Win in Penn.
Apr. 21, 2008
Pennsylvania
Marginals - (PDF)
Cross Tabs - (PDF)
Press Release: Poll: Clinton Headed for Keystone State Win
Mar. 4, 2008
Ohio
Greene County (PDF)
Morgan County (PDF)
Rhode Island
Providence (PDF)
Press Release: Bellwethers Ring for Clinton and McCain
Mar. 3, 2008
Ohio
Marginals (PDF)
Cross Tabs (PDF)
Press Release: Clinton Headed for Win in Buckeye Stat
Feb. 6, 2008
Presidential Primary Bellwethers
February 6, 2008
Massachusetts
Waltham (PDF)
Stoneham-Nahant (PDF)
Tennessee
Knox County Marginals (PDF)
California
Fresno County Gender Cross Tabs (PDF)
Fresno County Republican Gender Cross Tabs (PDF)
Feb. 4, 2008
California
Statewide Republican
Banner 1 - (PDF)
Banner 2 - (PDF)
Banner 3 - (PDF)
Banner 4 - (PDF)
Statewide Democratic
Banner 1 - (PDF)
Banner 2 - (PDF)
Banner 3 - (PDF)
Banner 4 - (PDF)
Frequencies
Republican - (PDF)
Democratic - (PDF)
Press Release: McCain Clings to Lead in California GOP Primary
Mar. 4, 2004
Marginals (PDF, 16KB)
Cross-Tabs
Banner 1(82KB)
Entire survey by gender, likely to vote, geographical region, party labels, political philosophy, & most important issue subcategories
Banner 2 (77KB)
Entire survey by economically better or worse off, age, veteran in household, residency, education, and marital status sub-categories
Banner 3 (75KB)
Entire survey by 2004 Ballot Test Bush vs. Kerry, 2004 Ballot Test Bush vs. Edwards, 2004 Ballot Test Mo. Governor, 2000 Vote for President,& Expect to be next President in 2004 subcategories
Banner 4 (76KB)
Entire Survey by same-sex marriage favor/oppose, civil unions favor/oppose, US Constitutional Amendment Restricting Definition of Marriage favor/oppose, Floating Gambling facilities favor/oppose, Conceal Carry Law favor/oppose, Iraq War increased domestic security/long-term security agree/disagree, & Bush exaggerated weapons of mass destruction agree/disagree subcategories
Banner 5 (69KB)
Entire survey by Favorable/Unfavorable Ratings of George Bush, John Edwards, Dick Gephardt, Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, Dick Cheney, John Ashcroft, & Ralph Nader
Feb. 2, 2004
South Carolina Presidental Poll Results
Marginals (PDF format, 11kb)
Cross Tabs
"Survey by gender, geographical area, age, veteran in household, union household, and race" (PDF format, 19kb)
"Entire Survey by likely to vote in Pres. primary, Democratic Presidential Primary choice, political philosophy, & Expect next President to be subcategories" (PDF format, 18kb)
