SUPRC's polls have tracked elections for Governor and US Senate, as well as national, statewide and local issues in many states, including: Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Virginia.

Aug. 25, 2015

Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus 

August 25, 2015


Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)


Press Release: Poll Shows Clinton Crushing Democratic Field in Iowa 

Statement of Methodology: This survey of 500 likely Iowa Democratic Caucus voters was conducted between August 20 and August 24, 2015, and is based on a statewide random sample drawn from a list of registered Democratic voters who indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in their local Democratic Caucuses for president in six months. Each of Iowa's five areas and demographic information were determined from past contested Democratic presidential caucuses including 2008 and 2004, using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely caucus voters. Iowa's 99 counties were grouped into five general regions. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document which follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues: Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Martin O'Malley, Jim Webb, Barack Obama, Tom Harkin, State Department email investigation, minimum wage 

Aug. 11, 2015

Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus 

August 11, 2015


Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF) 

Tables (PDF) 


Press Release: Trump Leads Iowa GOP Field but Shows Less Strength among Debate Viewers


Statement of Methodology: This survey of 500 likely Iowa Republican Caucus voters was conducted between August 7 and August 10, 2015, and is based on a statewide random sample drawn from a list of registered Republican voters who indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in their local Republican Caucuses in six months. Each of Iowa's five areas and demographic information were determined from past contested Republican presidential caucuses including 2008 and 2012, using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely caucus voters. Iowa's 99 counties were grouped into five general regions. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document which follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues: Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, Scott Walker, FoxNews debate 

Oct. 27, 2014

Louisiana Non-Partisan Blanket Primary for US Senate

October 27, 2014

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Statement of Methodology: The survey was conducted via random-digit dial of landline and cell phones. All respondents said that they are very likely to vote or had already voted in the Nov. 4 election. The field of 500 likely general-election voters was conducted Thursday, Oct. 23, through Sunday, Oct. 26. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Poll Shows Landrieu, Cassidy Winning Top 2 Spots in Louisiana Primary for U.S. Senate

 

Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Mary Landrieu, Hillary Clinton, Bill Cassidy, Rob Maness, Bobby Jindal, Common Core, fracking, Ebola virus, Obamacare, Medicaid, economy

Oct. 22, 2014

October 22, 2014

Colorado US Senate, Governor & General Election

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University/USA TODAY survey was conducted via landline and cell phone. All respondents indicated that they were very likely to vote or had already voted in the Nov. 4 election. The field of 500 likely general-election voters was conducted Saturday, October 18, through Tuesday, October 21. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Poll Shows Republican Gardner Leading by 7 Points in Colorado US Senate Race

Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Mark Udall, John Hickenlooper, Cory Gardner, Bob Beauprez, campaign ads, Ebola virus, Obamacare, economy, marijuana implimentation, personhood, genetically modified foods

Oct. 15, 2014

Iowa US Senate & Governor General Election

October 15, 2014

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Statement of Methodology: The survey was conducted via landline and cell phone respondents. All respondents indicated that they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the Nov. 4 election. The field of 500 likely general-election voters was conducted Saturday, Oct. 11, through Tuesday, Oct. 14. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Poll Shows Ernst Pulling Away in Iowa Senate Race

 

Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Tom Harkin, Terry Branstad, Bruce Braley, Joni Ernst, Jack Hatch, economy, Obamacare, voter ID laws, political ads

Oct. 8, 2014

North Carolina US Senate General Election

October 8, 2014

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Statement of Methodology: The survey was conducted via random-digit dial of landline and cell phones. All respondents said that they are very or somewhat likely to vote in the Nov. 4 election. The field of 500 likely general-election voters was conducted Saturday, Oct. 4, through Tuesday, Oct. 7. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: North Carolina Poll Shows Hagan Still Leading by 2 Points

 

Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Kay Hagan, Thom Tillis, Sean Haugh, Pat McCrory, Dan Forest, Richard Burr, Obamacare, economy

Oct. 1, 2014

Kansas U.S. Senate, Governor & General Election

October 1, 2014



Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University/USA TODAY survey was conducted via landline and cell phone. All respondents indicated that they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the Nov. 4 election. The field of 500 likely general-election voters was conducted Saturday, Sept. 27, through Tuesday, Sept. 30. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.





Key Names/Issues: Greg Orman, Pat Roberts, Paul Davis, Sam Brownback, Kris Kobach, Jean Kurtis Schodorf, Derek Schmidt, AJ Kotich, Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, charitable raffles, health care, foreign policy, terrorism, jobs, federal budget deficit

Sept. 24, 2014

Arkansas Midterm Election & Statewide Issues

September 24, 2014

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University/USA TODAY survey was conducted via landline and cell phone. All respondents indicated that they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the Nov. 4 election. The field of 500 likely general-election voters was conducted Saturday, Sept. 20, through Tuesday, Sept. 23. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Arkansas Poll Shows Tight Races for US Senate & Governor

 

Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Mike Beebe, Mark Pryor, Tom Cotton, Mike Ross, Asa Hutchinson, term limits, lobbying, alcohol legalization, minimum wage, Obamacare, economy

Sept. 17, 2014

Colorado Midterm Elections & Statewide Issues

September 17, 2014

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Statement of Methodology: The survey was conducted via landline and cell phone. All respondents indicated that they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the Nov. 4 election. The field of 500 likely general-election voters was conducted Saturday, Sept. 13, through Tuesday, Sept. 16. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Poll Shows Dead Heat in Colorado US Senate Race

 

Key Names/Issues: Mark Udall, Cory Gardner, Gaylon Kent, Raul Acosta, Bill Hammons, Steve Shogun, Bob Beauprez, John Hickenlooper, Harry Hempy, Matthew Hess, Mike Dunafon, Paul Fiorino, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, Obamacare, marijuana, personhood

Sept. 11, 2014

Michigan Governor, US Senate & Statewide Issues

September 11, 2014

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Statement of Methodology: The survey was conducted via land line and cell phone. All respondents indicated that they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the Nov. 4 election. The field of 500 likely general-election voters was conducted Saturday, Sept. 6, through Wednesday, Sept. 10. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Press Release: Poll Shows Michigan Races for US Senate & Governor Trending Democratic

Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Carl Levin, Rick Snyder, Matt Schauer, Mary Buzuma, Paul Homeniuk, Mark McFarlin, Terri Lynn Land, Gary Peters, Jim Fulner, Chris Wahmhoff, Richard Matkin, Obamacare

Aug. 27, 2014

Iowa US Senate & Governor General Election

August 27, 2014

       

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Press Release: Poll Shows Iowa Senate Race Dead Even

Statement of Methodology: The survey was conducted via landline and cell phone. All respondents indicated that they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the Nov. 4 election. The field of 500 likely general-election voters was conducted Saturday, Aug. 23, through Tuesday, Aug. 26. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Key Names/Issues: Tom Harkin, Terry Branstad, Bruce Braley, Joni Ernst, Jack Hatch, Lee Hieb, Jonathan Narcisse, Rick Stewart, Bob Quast, Douglas Butzier, Ruth Smith, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Obamacare, economy

Aug. 20, 2014

North Carolina US Senate & Gubernatorial General Election

August 20, 2014

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)


Statement of Methodology: The survey was conducted via random-digit dial of 68 percent landline and 32 percent cell phone respondents. All respondents indicated that they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 4 election. The field of 500 likely general-election voters was conducted Saturday, August 16, through Tuesday, August 19. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.


Press Release: NC Poll Shows Incumbent Senator Hagan Up by 2 Points


Key Names/Issues: Kay Hagan, Thom Tillis, Sean Haugh, Barack Obama, Pat McCrory, Dan River, Obamacare

June 2, 2014

Iowa & Montana Midterm Election Primary Bellwethers

June 2, 2014

 

Iowa Republican Primary:

Black Hawk County Marginals (PDF)

Boone County Marginals (PDF)

Washington County Marginals (PDF)

 

Montana Democratic Primary:

Cascade County Marginals (PDF)

Glacier County Marginals (PDF)

Lake County Marginals (PDF)

 

Press Release: Political Research Center Bellwethers Predict Nominees in Key Senate Races 

Statement of Methodology: Using party primary voter lists, the bellwether IDs were called using a tight screen. All respondents indicated that they were likely to vote in the state’s respective primaries or had already voted. All other respondents were screened out. The field was conducted Tuesday, May 27 – Friday, May 30, 2014. The margin of error for 300 respondents is +/- 5.65 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. Bellwethers are designed to predict winners, not margins or runners-up.

May 15, 2014

Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Bellwethers

May 15, 2014

 

Bellwether Marginals: 

Susquehanna County (PDF)

Wayne County (PDF) 

 

Press Release: Suffolk University Bellwethers Show Wolf the Likely Democratic Nominee for Governor in Pennsylvania

Statement of Methodology: Using party primary good voter lists the bellwether IDs were called using a tight screen. All respondents indicated that they were likely to vote in the Democratic primary on Tuesday, May 20. All other respondents were screened out. The field was conducted Monday, May 12 – Wednesday, May 14. The margin of error for the Wayne County bellwether is +/- 5.65 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The margin of error for the Susquehanna County bellwether is +/- 6.93 percentage points. Bellwethers are designed to predict winners, not margins or runners-up.

Apr. 29, 2014

Minnesota Gubernatorial & US Senate Elections, 2016 Presidential Caucuses

April 29, 2014

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Press Release: Poll Shows Jeb Bush and Rick Perry Leading GOP Presidential Pack in Minnesota

Statement of Methodology: The statewide Suffolk University survey used a split sample of landline and cell phone numbers and a screen to filter out low voter intensity. The field of 800 likely voters was conducted Thursday, April 24, through Monday, April 28. The margin of error is +/-3.5 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The subset of 198 likely GOP primary voters is +/-6.96 percentage points. The subset of "first choice" presidential selections from 87 Republican and 100 Democratic precinct caucus-goers is +/-10.5 percentage points and +/-9.8 percentage points respectively.

Key Names/Issues: Hillary Clinton, Mark Dayton, Julianne Ortman, Rob Farnsworth, Scott Honour, Jeff Johnson, Marty Seifert, Dave Thompson, Kurt Zellers, Al Franken, Jim Abeler, Chris Dahlberg, Mike McFadden, Jeb Bush, Elizabeth Warren, Obamacare

Apr. 9, 2014

Iowa Gubernatorial & US Senate Primaries, General Elections; 2016 Presidential Caucuses

April 9, 2014

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Press Release: Suffolk University Iowa Poll Shows Hillary Clinton Strong and GOP Field Scattered in Advance of Iowa Caucuses


Statement of Methodology: The statewide Suffolk University survey used a split sample of landline and cell phone numbers and a screen to filter out low voter intensity. The field of 800 likely voters was conducted Thursday, April 3, through Tuesday, April 8. The margin of error is +/-3.5 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The subset of 224 likely Republican Primary June voters carries an error rate of +/-6.55 percentage points. The margin of error is +/-8.7 percentage points for the 127 GOP caucus-goers and +/-8.4 percentage points for the 135 Democratic caucus-goers surveyed.


Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Tom Harkin, Terry Branstad, Bruce Braley, Sam Clovis, Joni Ernst, Mark Jacobs, Scott Schaben, Matt Whitaker, Tom Hoefling, Jack Hatch, Lee Hieb, Iowa caucuses, Obamacare, voter ID

Nov. 5, 2012

New Hampshire & Ohio Presidential Bellwethers

November 5, 2012

 

New Hampshire Marginals:

Epping, New Hampshire

Milford, New Hampshire


Ohio Marginals:

Lake County, Ohio


Statement of Methodology: The IDs of 300 likely voters for each bellwether were conducted November 1-4 using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5.65 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.

Oct. 22, 2012

Ohio Presidential General Election

October 22, 2012

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)


Press Release: Presidential Race is Neck-and-Neck in Ohio


Statement of Methodology: This statewide survey of 600 likely Ohio voters was conducted October 18-21, 2012 using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Oct. 11, 2012

Nevada Presidential General Election

October 11, 2012

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross-Tabs (PDF)


Press Release: Nevada Poll Shows Obama Edging Romney


Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 registered Nevada voters was conducted October 6-9, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Oct. 2, 2012

Florida Presidential & US Senate General Election

October 2, 2012

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Press Release: Florida Poll Shows Obama with Slight Lead


Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 600 registered Florida voters was conducted Sept. 27-30, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Sep. 27, 2012

Virginia Presidential General Election

September 27, 2012

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross-Tabs (PDF)


Press Release: Suffolk University/NBC12 Poll Shows Obama Clinging to a 2-Point Lead in VA


Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 600 likely Virginia general election voters was conducted September 24-26, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Mar. 5, 2012

Ohio Republican Presidential Primary

March 5, 2012

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross-Tabs (PDF)


Press Release: Ohio Poll Shows Santorum Edging Romney


Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 likely Ohio Republican Primary voters was conducted March 3-4, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. All respondents indicated that they were “very likely” to vote in Tuesday’s Republican Primary or had “already voted.” The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Oct. 29, 2010

Virginia Governor's Race & Bellwethers

October 29, 2010

 

Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results:

Henrico County (PDF)


Press Release: McDonnell Leads Deeds by 14 Points in Virginia


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University statewide poll was conducted Oct. 26 through Oct. 28, 2009, using live interviewers. The margin of error on the study of 400 is +/- 5 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Virginia statewide survey were likely voters. Separate from the statewide study, there were 250 respondents identified from Henrico County on Oct. 27 and 28.

 

Oct. 26, 2010

California US Senate & Bellwethers

October 26, 2010

 

Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results: 

San Benito County (PDF)


Press Release: Suffolk Poll of California: Incumbent Boxer with 9 Point Lead for U.S. Senate


Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 600 California likely voters was conducted Oct. 21-24, 2010 using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The San Benito County bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 10/23-10/24. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.

 

Oct. 21, 2010

Connecticut US Senate & Governor

October 21, 2010

 

Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)


Bellwether Results:

Town of Plainfield (PDF)


Press Release: Suffolk Poll: Democrats Leading for Governor and U.S. Senate in Connecticut


Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 Connecticut likely voters was conducted with live telephone interviews Oct. 19-20, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The town of Plainfield bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 10/19-10/20. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.

 

Oct. 13, 2010

Nevada US Senate Race & Bellwethers

October 13, 2010

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results:

Nye County (PDF)


Press Release: Suffolk University Poll Shows Harry Reid with 3 Point Lead in Tight Nevada Senate Race


Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 Nevada likely voters was conducted Oct. 8-11, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The Nye County bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 10/10-10/11. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.

 

Oct. 7, 2010

Ohio Governor & US Senator & Bellwethers

October 7, 2010

 

Poll Documents:

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tab (PDF)


Bellwether Results: 

Clark County (PDF)


Press Release: Suffolk University Poll of Ohio: Republicans Leading for U.S. Senator and Governor


Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 Ohio likely voters was conducted Oct. 4-6, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The Clark County bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 10/5-10/6. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.

Oct. 4, 2010

Illinois US Senate, Governor & Bellwethers

October 4, 2010

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results: 

Randolph County (PDF)


Press Release: Suffolk University Poll Shows Democrat Quinn Leading for Governor in Illinois


Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 Illinois likely voters was conducted Sept. 30 – Oct. 3, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The Randolph County bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 10/2-10/3. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.

Sep. 28, 2010

Pennsylvania US Senate, Governor & Bellwethers

September 28, 2010

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)


Bellwether Results: 

Erie County (PDF)


Press Release: Suffolk University Poll Shows Republicans Lead for Senate, Governor


Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 Pennsylvania registered voters was conducted Sept. 24-27, 2010 using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The Erie County bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 9/26-9/27. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.

 

Jun. 3, 2010

Nevada US Senate GOP Primary

June 3, 2010

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Press Release: Angle Leading in Nevada GOP Primary for U.S. Senate


Statement of Methodology: Suffolk University conducted the Republican Primary poll using live telephone interviews on Tuesday June 1, through Wednesday, June 2, 2010. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 400 is +/- 4.90 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents were likely Republican voters in the Nevada Primary to be held Tuesday, June 8.

May 13, 2010

Pennsylvania GOP & Democratic Primaries

May 13, 2010


Democratic Primary Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

York County Bellwether (PDF)

 

Republican Primary Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

Lackawana County Bellwether (PDF)


Press Release: Suffolk University Poll of Primaries in Pennsylvania


Statement of Methodology: Suffolk University conducted two separate Primary polls through live telephone interviews. Each was fielded Monday, May 11, through Wednesday, May 13, 2010. The margin of error on each statewide survey of 400 is +/- 4.90 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely Democratic or Republican voters in the respective Pennsylvania Primaries to be held Tuesday, May 18.

Apr. 30, 2010

Ohio US Senate Democratic Primary

April 30, 2010

 

Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results:

Erie County (PDF)


Press Release: Poll Shows Fisher Breaking Away in Ohio Democratic Primary


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University statewide Democratic Primary poll was conducted was conducted by live telephone interviews Tuesday, April 27, through Thursday, April 29, 2010. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 400 is +/- 4.90 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely Democratic voters in the Ohio U.S. Senate Primary to be held Tuesday, May 4.

Oct. 26, 2009

New Jersey Governor

October 26, 2009

 

Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results: 

Gloucester County (PDF)


Press Release: Corzine Leads Christie By 9 Points In NJ Gubernatorial Race


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University statewide poll was conducted Oct. 22 through Oct. 25, 2009. The margin of error on the study of 400 is +/- 5 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the New Jersey statewide survey were likely voters. Separate from the statewide study, there were 350 respondents identified from Gloucester County on Oct. 24 and 25.

Jun. 4, 2009

Virginia Governor Democratic Primary

June 4, 2009


Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Marginals: 

Accomack County Bellwether  (PDF)

 

Press Release: Undecideds Key in VA Democratic Gubernatorial Primary


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University statewide poll was conducted June 1 through June 3, 2009 using live interviewers. The margin of error on the study of 500 is +/- 4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were registered voters in Virginia who indicated they would vote in the Democratic Primary and could identify the correct timeframe of the Democratic Primary. The Virginia Democratic Primary Accomack County bellwether included 748 respondents phoned on June 2 and June 3, 2009.

 

Apr. 29, 2009

Barack Obama 100 Days Poll: Florida

April 29, 2009

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Press Release: Mass. & Florida Look Favorably on Obama’s First 100 Days


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University/7NEWS polls of Massachusetts voters was conducted April 24 through April 27, 2009. The Florida poll was conducted April 26 through April 28. The margin of error on each study of 400 is +/- 4.9 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide surveys were registered voters.

Oct. 28, 2008

Nevada Presidential General Election

October 28, 2008

 

Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results: 

Washoe County (PDF)


Press Release: Obama Surges to 10-Point Lead in Nevada


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted Thursday Oct. 23 through Monday Oct. 27. The margin of error on the study of 450 is +/- 4.6 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Nevada statewide survey were likely voters. There were 299 respondents in the bellwether of Washoe County, Nevada, identified separately from the statewide poll.

Oct. 27, 2008

Florida General Presidential Election

October 27, 2008

 

Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results: 

Hillsborough County (PDF)

Monroe County (PDF)


Press Release: Obama Leads by 5% in Sunshine State


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted Thursday October 23, 2008, through Sunday, October 26, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Florida statewide survey were likely voters. There were 303 respondents each from the bellwethers of Hillsborough and Monroe counties respectively, identified separately from the statewide poll.

Oct. 20, 2008

Ohio & Missouri Presidential General Election

October 20, 2008


Ohio Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Ohio Bellwether Results:

Perry County (PDF)


Missouri Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Missouri Bellwether Results: 

Platte County (PDF)


Press Release: Obama Leads by 9 in Ohio, McCain Edges in Missouri


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University Ohio poll was conducted Thursday, Oct. 16, 2008, through Sunday, Oct. 19, 2008. The Missouri poll was conducted Friday, Oct. 17, 2008, through Sunday, Oct. 19, 2008. The margin of error on each study of 600 is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from both surveys were likely voters from Ohio and Missouri. Separate from the statewide poll, there were 312 respondents from the Ohio bellwether of Perry County and 204 respondents from the Missouri bellwether of Platte County.

Oct. 14, 2008

Colorado Presidential General Election

October 14, 2008

 

Statewide Poll Documents:

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results:

Alamosa County (PDF)


Press Release: Barack Obama Clings to 4 Point Lead in Colorado


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted Friday, October 10, 2008, through Monday, October 13, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Colorado statewide survey were likely voters from all parties in Colorado. Separate from the statewide poll, there were 300 respondents from Alamosa County, Colorado.

Oct. 6, 2008

Virginia Presidential General Election & Bellwethers

October 6, 2008

 

Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results: 

Accomack County (PDF)

Chesapeake City (PDF)


Press Release: Obama Overpowering McCain in Virginia


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted Friday, October 3, 2008, through Sunday, October 5, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Virginia statewide survey were likely voters. In the bellwether polls, there were 282 respondents from Chesapeake city and 303 respondents from Accomack County, and both were surveyed separately from the statewide poll.

Sep. 21, 2008

Nevada Presidential General Election & Bellwether

September 21, 2008

 

Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results: 

Washoe County (PDF)

Sep. 15, 2008

Ohio Presidential General Election

September 15, 2008


Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Tables (PDF)

 

Aug. 25, 2008

Colorado Presidential General Election

August 25, 2008

 

Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results:

Alamosa County (PDF)


Press Release: Obama Leads McCain by 5 Percent in Colorado


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted Thursday, August 21, 2008, through Sunday, August 24, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 450 is +/- 4.6 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the Colorado statewide survey were likely voters from all parties in Colorado. Separate from the statewide poll there were 300 respondents from Alamosa County, Colorado.

May 19, 2008

Kentucky & Oregon Presidential Democratic Primaries & Bellwethers

May 19, 2008

 

Kentucky Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Kentucky Bellwether Results: 

Montgomery County (PDF)


Oregon Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Oregon Bellwether Results:

Marion County (PDF)


Press Release: Clinton Solid in Kentucky; Oregon is Obama’s in Tight Race


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University polls were conducted May 17-18, 2008. The margin of error on the statewide surveys of 600 is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide surveys were likely voters in the May 20 respective Democratic Presidential Primaries. The Suffolk University election predictor bellwether ID sister-tests (300 contacts, Montgomery County and 149 contacts, Marion County) were made May 18. There was an equal probability of contacting and interviewing likely Democratic voters, provided that they identified themselves as very likely or somewhat likely to take a Democratic ballot on Tuesday.

May 12, 2008

West Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary & Bellwethers

May 12, 2008

 

Statewide Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF) 

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Bellwether Results:

Mason County (PDF)


Press Release: Poll Predicts 36-Point Clinton Landslide in W. Virginia


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted May 10 and May 11, 2008. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 600 is +/- 4.00 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely voters in the May 13 West Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary. The Suffolk University election predictor bellwether ID sister-test (400 contacts) was made May 10. There was an equal probability of contacting and interviewing registered voters of all party affiliations, provided that they identified themselves as likely to take a Democratic ballot on Tuesday.

May 6, 2008

Indiana Democratic Presidential Primary

May 6, 2008

 

Delaware County Bellwether Results:

Frequencies (PDF)


Press Release: Indiana Bellwether Points to Clinton Win


Statement of Methodology: Suffolk University interviewed 361 likely Democratic voters from a randomly selected list of 5,000 residents of Delaware County, Ind. All phoning took place on Sunday, May 4, and Monday, May 5, 2008. There was an equal probability of contacting and interviewing registered voters of all party affiliations, provided that they identified themselves as very likely or somewhat likely to take a Democratic ballot on Tuesday. The execution of the identification interviews was by live telephone call.

May 5, 2008

Indiana Presidential Democratic Primary

May 5, 2008

 

Poll Documents:

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Press Release: Poll: Clinton Leads Obama in Hoosier State


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted May 3 and May 4, 2008. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 600 is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely Democratic Primary voters in the May 6 Indiana Democratic Presidential Primary.

Apr. 22, 2008

Pennsylvania Presidential Democratic Primary

April 22, 2008


Allegheny County Bellwether Results: 

Frequencies (PDF)


Press Release: Bellwether Points to Clinton Win in Penn.


Statement of Methodology: Suffolk University interviewed 402 likely Democratic voters from a randomly selected list of 5,000 residents of Allegheny County. All phoning took place on Sunday, April 20, and Monday, April 21. There was an equal probability of contacting and interviewing newly registered voters, recent party-switch registrants and longtime Democratic households, provided those contacted were registered Democrats and intended to vote in the Democratic Primary on Tuesday, April 22.

Apr. 21, 2008

Pennsylvania Presidential Democratic Primary

April 21, 2008

 

Poll Documents: 

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Press Release: Poll: Clinton Headed for Keystone State Win


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted April 19 - April 20, 2008. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 600 is +/- 4.00 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely Democratic Primary voters in the April 22 Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary.

Mar. 4, 2008

Presidential Primary Bellwethers

March 4, 2008


Ohio Democratic Primary Bellwethers:

Greene County (PDF)

Morgan County (PDF)


Rhode Island Republican Primary Bellwethers:

Providence (PDF)


Press Release: Bellwethers Ring for Clinton and McCain


Statement of Methodology: Suffolk University interviewed 300 likely voters from each of the three counties. A random select of all available registered voters with phone numbers was used as the core sample, which did not include newly registered voters. The execution of the identification interviews was by live telephone call.

Mar. 3, 2008

Ohio Presidential Democratic Primary

March 3, 2008


Poll Documents:

Marginals (PDF)

Cross Tabs (PDF)


Press Release: Clinton Headed for Win in Buckeye State


Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll was conducted Saturday, March 1, through Sunday, March 2, 2008. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 400 is +/- 4.90 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely Democratic voters in the March 4 Ohio Presidential Primary.

Feb. 6, 2008

Presidential Primary Bellwethers

February 6, 2008

Massachusetts Poll Documents: 

Waltham (PDF)
Stoneham-Nahant (PDF)

Tennessee Poll Documents: 

Knox County Marginals (PDF)

California Poll Documents: 

Fresno County Gender Cross Tabs (PDF)

Feb. 4, 2008

California Presidential Primaries

February 4, 2008


Statewide Republican Primary: 

Banner 1 (PDF)
Banner 2 (PDF)
Banner 3 (PDF)
Banner 4 (PDF)

Statewide Democratic Primary: 

Banner 1 (PDF)
Banner 2 (PDF)
Banner 3 (PDF)
Banner 4 (PDF)

Frequencies: 

Republican  (PDF)
Democratic (PDF)


Press Release: McCain Clings to Lead in California GOP Primary

Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University poll of likely Republican voters was conducted Thursday, Jan. 31, and Friday, Feb. 1, 2008. The margin of error on the statewide survey of 500 is +/- 4.38 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the statewide survey were likely Republican voters in the California Presidential Primary on Feb. 5. 

Mar. 4, 2004

Missouri Presidential General Election

March 4, 2004

 

Marginals: 

Marginals (PDF)


Tables: 

Banner 1 (PDF) Entire survey by gender, likely to vote, geographical region, party labels, political philosophy, & most important issue subcategories

Banner 2 (PDF) Entire survey by economically better or worse off, age, veteran in household, residency, education, and marital status sub-categories

Banner 3 (PDF) Entire survey by 2004 Ballot Test Bush vs. Kerry, 2004 Ballot Test Bush vs. Edwards, 2004 Ballot Test Mo. Governor, 2000 Vote for President,& Expect to be next President in 2004 subcategories

Banner 4 (PDF) Entire Survey by same-sex marriage favor/oppose, civil unions favor/oppose, US Constitutional Amendment Restricting Definition of Marriage favor/oppose, Floating Gambling facilities favor/oppose, Conceal Carry Law favor/oppose, Iraq War increased domestic security/long-term security agree/disagree, & Bush exaggerated weapons of mass destruction agree/disagree subcategories

Banner 5 (PDF) Entire survey by Favorable/Unfavorable Ratings of George Bush, John Edwards, Dick Gephardt, Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, Dick Cheney, John Ashcroft, & Ralph Nader

Feb. 2, 2004

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary

February 4, 2004

 

Marginals:

Marginals (PDF)


Cross Tabs: 

"Survey by gender, geographical area, age, veteran in household, union household, and race" (PDF)

"Entire Survey by likely to vote in Pres. primary, Democratic Presidential Primary choice, political philosophy, & Expect next President to be subcategories" (PDF)


Statement of Methodology: Poll fielded Saturday, January 31-Monday February 2, 2004. 400 respondents. Margin of error is +/- 4.90 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.