Poll: Huntsman and Paul Lose Ground to "Undecided" among N.H. GOP Voters

Likely New Hampshire Republican Primary voters may be reevaluating their support for Jon Huntsman and Ron Paul, according to the latest Suffolk University/7News two-day tracking poll of likely voters in New Hampshire’s GOP presidential primary.

Huntsman dropped three points, from 10 percent yesterday to 7 percent today. Paul dropped two points, from 16 percent to 14 percent, despite a third-place finish in Iowa last night. The poll showed Romney maintaining his lead with 43 percent of the vote, followed by Paul (14 percent), Newt Gingrich (9 percent), Jon Huntsman (7 percent), while Rick Santorum (6 percent), fresh off an impressive Iowa Caucus second-place showing, managed to climb another point and is now within striking distance of third place.

Huntsman’s three point drop was driven by self-identified moderates, where his support fell from 17 percent to 11 percent, while the undecided among the moderates swelled to 17 percent from 12 percent overnight. Paul’s drop was primarily due to younger voters ages 18-34, where he dropped from 29 percent to 18 percent.

Despite the volatility of Huntsman, Paul, and undecided counts, Mitt Romney’s 43 percent is the same level of support he has shown in the Granite state over the last three consecutive surveys by the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston.

The percentage of voters remaining undecided has increased three points, to 16 percent, suggesting that voters are reevaluating the second tier of contenders.

“The decline of Huntsman and Paul vote counts are primarily responsible for the spike in the undecided count,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. “This means that some voters who previously supported Huntsman and Paul are now undecided. While these voters may ultimately return to Huntsman and Paul, they may also be looking to reevaluate the field post-Iowa caucus to determine the maximum impact for their respective votes.”

The Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston will release results of two-day tracking polls every day leading up to the New Hampshire Presidential Primary on Tuesday, Jan. 10, 2012.


The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary. This track was conducted Jan. 2 and Jan. 3 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data will be posted at 7 a.m. Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2012, on the Suffolk University Political Research Center website. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310. Paleologos is on site at the Manchester, N.H., media center located in the lobby of the Radisson Hotel, 700 Elm Street, Manchester through Jan. 10.