Survey shows voters swinging away from incumbent since DecemberA Suffolk University/USA TODAY nationwide poll of registered voters shows former Vice-President Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump 44 percent to 38 percent when a third-party option is included. Eight percent said they would vote for a third-party candidate in the November general election, and 9 percent were undecided.
In a two-way ballot test, Biden led by 10 points, 50 percent to Trump’s 40 percent.
Biden’s polling strength has grown in relation to the president since he became the presumptive Democratic nominee. In a December 2019 poll taken after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced two articles of impeachment against the president, Trump (44 percent) led Biden (41 percent) by three points, while 11 percent of voters preferred a third-party candidate, and 4 percent were undecided.
“There is a good reason the Democratic primary candidates endorsed Joe Biden after the South Carolina Primary,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. “Biden is showing unique general election strength against President Trump in a number of key demographics.”
Biden led Trump 37 percent to 27 percent among independent voters, 50 percent to 25 percent among young voters, 53 percent to 30 percent among women, and 63 percent to 8 percent among black voters. Trump led Biden 46 percent to 35 percent among men, 48 percent to 39 percent among older voters, and 48 percent to 38 percent among white voters.
Voters also were asked to rate Trump and Biden on traits including leadership and trustworthiness. Forty-five percent rated Trump as a strong leader, while 43 percent said the same for Biden. Forty-seven percent said Biden was honest and trustworthy, as opposed to 31 percent for Trump. Biden gets significantly higher marks on working with foreign leaders, 64 percent versus 45 percent for Trump.
The nationwide Suffolk University/USA Today survey was conducted through live interviews of cell phone and land line users. The survey of 1,000 respondents was conducted April 21 – 25. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results are posted on the Suffolk University Political Research Center website. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310, firstname.lastname@example.org.
Suffolk University/USA TODAY Polls—April 2020
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