National
National Polls 2018
December 2018: National Poll with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Press Release
Paleologos on the Poll
Republicans Should Look to the Economy - and Be Worried about 2020
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between December 11 and December 16, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Quota and demographic information—including region, race, and age—were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
October 25, 2018: National Poll with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Marginals [PDF]
Tables [PDF]
Press Release
SU/USA TODAY Poll: Voters Want a Congress That Will Stand Up To Trump, but Not Impeach Him
Paleologos on the Poll: Conflicting trends and no 'neat package' for the midterms
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between October 18 and October 22, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as likely voters for the November 2018 midterm elections. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues
2018 midterm elections, Equal Rights Amendment (ERA), Donald Trump, Brett Kavanaugh, Supreme Court, Robert Mueller, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, news media, impeachment, 2016 Russian election interference, special counsel investigation, Rod Rosenstein
September 4, 2018: National Issues with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Marginals [PDF]
Tables [PDF]
Press Release
Paleologos on the Poll: Impeachment? It's the Elephant in the Room this Election Season
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between August 23 and August 28, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues
Donald Trump, Robert Mueller, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, news media, corruption, Russian election meddling, Rudy Giuliani, Paul Manafort, Michael Cohen, impeachment, 2018 midterm elections
June 21, 2018: National Issues with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Marginals [PDF]
Tables [PDF]
Press Release
Shift to More Positive View of Trump Could Impact Midterms
Paleologos on the Poll: Ask Voters About Trump and Get an Earful, Regardless of Party
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between June 13 and June 18, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues
Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, 2018 congressional midterms, North Korea, Singapore summit, Kim Jong Un, G7 summit, presidential pardons, impeachment, US-Mexico relations, NAFTA, tariffs
March 1, 2018: National Issues with USA TODAY
Poll Documents
Marginals [PDF]
Tables [PDF]
Press Releases
- March 1 -- Poll Shows Voters Favoring Democrats as Midterms Approach
- Feb. 27 -- Russian Election Meddling a Concern the President Should Address
- Feb. 26 -- Suffolk/USA TODAY Poll Shows Strong Support for Gun Controls but Little Faith Congress Will Act
Paleologos on the Poll: Voters Have New Focus on Gun Violence
Statement of Methodology
This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between February 20 and February 24, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues
2018 Congressional Midterms, Donald Trump, Robert Mueller, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, news media, Russian election interference, special counsel investigation, Parkland shooting, gun control, background checks, AR-15, mental illness, school security, economy
