Suffolk University Political Research Center

Proven precision, wide reach, and trusted expertise

Midterm Election Bellwethers: AZ, NH, PA

November 3 & 7, 2022

PA Midterms with USA TODAY Network

November 2, 2022
Established in 2002 and based in Boston, the Suffolk University Political Research Center (SUPRC) conducts statewide and national surveys as well as bellwether polls. It examines political races and analyzes voters' opinions on key issues.

Suffolk University presidential polls have predicted outcomes in key battleground states including Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia.

Having conducted extensive polls and bellwether surveys in the 2004 presidential election and beyond, SUPRC has now expanded its reach overseas. Suffolk was the only U.S. university to poll the 2017 French election. The Center found that Emmanuel Macron led his opponent, Marine Le Pen, by 16 points in the run-up to France's presidential runoff. Macron did indeed win by a comfortable margin.

SUPRC 2022 Track Record

Chart showing outcomes of recent elections in PA, AZ, and NH. Sources available at: https://www.suffolk.edu/academics/research-at-suffolk/political-research-center/polls/other-states#collapse-November-7-2022-Midterm-General-Election-Bellwethers---Arizona-and-New-Hampshire, https://www.suffolk.edu/academics/research-at-suffolk/political-research-center/polls/other-states#collapse-November-3-2022-Pennsylvania-Bellwethers

New & Notable

2022 Midterm Election Polls

Suffolk University's 2022 midterm election polls will include the key states of Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin

Archives

Starting in 2002, SUPRC was the first research center to make all of our demographic cross-tabulation data for every poll available at no cost; and we're proud to continue.

The Bellwether Model

SUPRC Director David Paleologos is the author of a proprietary bellwether model that has an 89% record of accuracy in predicting outcomes.

Support Our Work!

Support the Suffolk University Political Research Center's work by making a donation.

Poll Distribution List

Get the scoop on upcoming Suffolk University polls!

If you are a journalist, freelancer, blogger, student, or researcher and would like to be on SUPRC's poll distribution list for advisories of upcoming polls, please contact Greg Gatlin in the Office of Public Affairs, or email the Research Center.

The Suffolk University Political Research Center in Action