International Polling

After years of successful polling at the local, statewide, and national levels, the Suffolk University Political Research Center seeks to expand its mission and the university's profile with international polling.

French Presidential Election

May 4, 2017

Poll Documents:

Marginals - English [PDF]

Marginals - French [PDF]

Tables - English [PDF]

Press Releases: Poll of French Voters Shows Macron Leading by 16, Blank Voters Strong (English)

Résultats du sondage de la Suffolk University: Macron menant par 16 points, fort nombre de vote blanc (French)

Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,094 likely May 7 voters was conducted between April 28 and May 2, 2017, excluding Labor Day, May 1. The survey was conducted by live telephone interviews of registered voters 18 years of age or older, residing in all 102 administrative departments in France. Quota and demographic information -- including region, gender, age -- were determined from the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (Institut national de la statistique et des études économiques -- INSEE) which collects, produces, analyzes, and disseminates information on the French economy and society and recent election statistics. Voter sample of both standard landlines and cell phones was provided by FASTO {France} and live calls were made using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each area were proportional to the number of adult residents. Administrative departments were grouped into five (UDI) general regions. Live calls were executed by UPDATE FRANCE {France}, under the supervision of SUPRC. Translation of Survey from English to French was conducted by UPDATE FRANCE under the review/editing of Suffolk University faculty. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues: Francois Hollande, Jean-Luc Me'lenchon, Benoit Hamon, Emmanuel Macron, Francois Fillon, Marine Le Pen, European Union, Brexit, Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, Angela Merkel, Nigel Farage, Barack Obama, Theresa May, Jesse Klaver

Bellwethers: SUPRC Director David Paleologos, author of a proprietary bellwether predictor model, has identified the following "departments to watch" during the final vote on May 7th: Alpes-de-Haute-Provence, Saone et Loire, and Tarn-et-Garonne. These departments could serve as key indicators on the final outcome of the national vote.

Puerto Rico Voters April 10, 2013

The Suffolk University Political Research Center has partnered with the Universidad del Turabo to present this exclusive poll of the United States territory of Puerto Rico.

Poll Documents:

English Marginals [PDF]

Spanish Marginals [PDF]

English Tables [PDF]

Press Release: Puerto Rican Voters Want to Join as 51st State

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 601 Puerto Rico voters was conducted March 20-31, 2013, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points at a 95% level of confidence.