2017

Other States 2017

Poll Documents

Marginals [PDF]

Tables [PDF]

Press Release

Poll of Virginia Governor’s Race Shows Democrat Northam with an Edge over Republican Gillespie, 47% to 43%

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Virginia general-election voters was conducted between October 30 and November 1, 2017, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were very likely to vote in the November 2017 general election for governor. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. Virginia's 95 counties and 38 independent cities were grouped into five general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues

Ralph Northam, Ed Gillespie, Clifford Hyra, Justin Fairfax, Jill Vogel, Mark Herring, John Adams, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Terry McAuliffe, Tim Kaine, Mark Warner, Virginia State Legislature, US Congress, Confederate monuments, oil and gas drilling, minimum wage hike, in-state tuition benefit for undocumented immigrants, 2020 Democratic primaries, 2018 US Senate election

Poll Documents

Marginals [PDF]

Tables[PDF]

Press Release

NJ Poll Shows Democrat Phil Murphy with 16-Point Lead in Governor's Race

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely New Jersey general-election voters was conducted between October 25 and October 28, 2017, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2017 general election for governor. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. New Jersey’s 21 counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues

Kim Guadagno, Phil Murphy, Gina Genovese, Seth Kaper-Dale, Matthew Riccardi, Peter Rohrman, Vincent Ross, Barack Obama, Elizabeth Warren, Rudy Giuliani, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Chris Christie, Cory Booker, Bob Menendez, NJ State Legislature, US Congress, Menendez fraud charges, Hurricane Sandy recovery, FEMA, economy

Poll Documents

Marginals [PDF]

Tables [PDF]

Press Release

Poll Shows Commanding Lead for Democrat Murphy in NJ Governor’s Race

Statement of Methodology

 This survey of 500 likely New Jersey general-election voters was conducted between September 19 and September 23, 2017, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2017 general election for governor. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. New Jersey’s 21 counties were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. 

Poll Documents

Marginals [PDF]

Tables [PDF]

Press Release

Poll Shows Virginia Governor’s Race Running Even

Statement of Methodology

This survey of 500 likely Virginia general-election voters was conducted between September 13 and September 17, 2017, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2017 general election for governor. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. Virginia's 95 counties and 38 independent cities were grouped into five general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.

Key Names/Issues

Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Terry McAuliffe, Tim Kaine, Mark Warner, Ralph Northam, Ed Gillespie, Clifford Hyra, Virginia State Legislature, US Congress, 2020 presidential election, September 19th debate, removal of Confederate monuments, oil and gas drilling, Justin Fairfax, Jill Vogel, Mark Herring, John Adams, minimum wage, undocumented immigrants, in-state college tuition benefit, midterm elections