Political Research Center
Surveying National Issues
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: Suffolk University/USA Today Poll Shows Voters Don’t Believe President Trump’s Denials of Campaign Collusion with Russia
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between December 11 and December 16, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Quota and demographic information—including region, race, and age—were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Robert Mueller, Democratic Party, Republican Party, immigration/border wall, health care, taxes, infrastructure, climate change, Affordable Care Act, Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer, government shutdown, stock market, Russian interference investigation, New Year's resolutions, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Michael Bloomberg, Kamala Harris, Amy Klobuchar, Beto O'Rourke
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: SU/USA TODAY Poll: Voters Want a Congress That Will Stand Up To Trump, but Not Impeach Him
Paleologos on the Poll: Conflicting trends and no 'neat package' for the midterms
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between October 18 and October 22, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as likely voters for the November 2018 midterm elections. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: 2018 midterm elections, Equal Rights Amendment (ERA), Donald Trump, Brett Kavanaugh, Supreme Court, Robert Mueller, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, news media, impeachment, 2016 Russian election interference, special counsel investigation, Rod Rosenstein
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: SU/USA Today Poll Shows Faith in Mueller’s Russia Investigation but Not in Trump Denials; President’s Unfavorable Ratings Increase
Paleologos on the Poll: Impeachment? It's the Elephant in the Room this Election Season
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between August 23 and August 28, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Donald Trump, Robert Mueller, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, news media, corruption, Russian election meddling, Rudy Giuliani, Paul Manafort, Michael Cohen, impeachment, 2018 midterm elections
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: Shift to More Positive View of Trump Could Impact Midterms
Paleologos on the Poll: Ask Voters About Trump and Get an Earful, Regardless of Party
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between June 13 and June 18, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, 2018 congressional midterms, North Korea, Singapore summit, Kim Jong Un, G7 summit, presidential pardons, impeachment, US-Mexico relations, NAFTA, tariffs
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Releases:
Paleologos on the Poll: Voters Have New Focus on Gun Violence
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between February 20 and February 24, 2018, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: 2018 Congressional Midterms, Donald Trump, Robert Mueller, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, news media, Russian election interference, special counsel investigation, Parkland shooting, gun control, background checks, AR-15, mental illness, school security, economy
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: 74 Percent Say Sexual Harassment Must Be Addressed Seriously
Paleologos on the Poll: Single Women Find Voice on Sexual Harassment
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between December 5 and December 9, 2017, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, news media, sexual harassment, economy, Republican tax bill
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: Poll Shows Growing Dissatisfaction with Republicans
Paleologos on the Poll: Healthcare Could be key to Bringing Non-Voters to the Polls Next Year
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between September 27 and October 1, 2017, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, news media, economy, foreign policy, national security, terrorism, healthcare, North Korea, Facebook ads, Russian election interference, NFL players, national anthem protests, Obamacare, nuclear weapons, Iran nuclear agreement
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: Poll Shows Trump Approval Dipping
Paleologos on the Poll: Replacing Obamacare a Sensitive "Operation"
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between June 24 and June 27, 2017, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identified as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Donald Trump, Robert Mueller, Elizabeth Warren, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, news media, economy, foreign policy, national security/terrorism, healthcare, Russian election interference, Otto Warmbier, North Korea, Affordable Care Act, Obamacare, Medicaid, health insurance premiums, preexisting conditions
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: Voters Say Trump Shows Leadership But Are Less Sure of Its Direction
Paleologos on the Poll: Not an entirely pretty picture for new president
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between March 1 and March 5, 2017, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identify as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from national census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Mike Pence, Republican Party, Democratic Party, US Congress, media/journalists, Jill Stein, Gary Johnson, Twitter, federal budget, Social Security, Medicare, Dreamer protections, illegal immigration, Affordable Care Act, Russian election interference, antisemitism, Puerto Rico, Puerto Rican statehood
Suffolk University and USA TODAY polled the nation in the wake of Donald Trump's election in 2016. Now, following a controversial post-inaugural, USA TODAY has reached out to self-identified Trump voters from our December poll to create a 25-member panel to track opinions of Trump supporters during the early days of his administration. Complete results from the December poll are below. Stay tuned for periodic updates from the panel.
December 21, 2016 Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
December 21, 2016 Press Release: Voters Expect Trump to Upend Obama Accomplishments; President-Elect’s Business Conflicts and Russian Hacking Seen as Issues
Paleologos on the Poll: Evaluating Obama's Legacy, Trump's Transition
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between December 14 and December 18, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who identify as registered voters. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Bernie Sanders, Jill Stein, Gary Johnson, Kellyanne Conway, Michelle Obama, Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Deval Patrick, Affordable Care Act, Great Recession, economic recovery, terrorism, Iraq/Afghanistan, climate change, race relations, Electoral College, Trump transition efforts, conflict of interest, ISIS, Washington DC, immigration, Russian hacking,
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 9 Points Nationwide
Paleologos on the Poll: Clinton's 'Electoral Sledgehammer' and More Potential Superlatives
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between October 20 and October 24, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who intend to vote in the general election in November 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, presidential debates, inappropriate behavior by Trump towards women, WikiLeaks, Clinton Foundation, corruption, election results, Russian hackers, Election Day violence, peaceful transfer of power, economy, news media
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: National Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 7 Points
Paleologos on the Poll: Voters Want Third-Party Candidates on Debate Stage
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between August 24 and August 29, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who intend to vote in the general election in November 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, TV ads, Clinton Foundation, Trump tax returns, economy, national security, Supreme Court appointments, social issues, job creation, Zika virus, 9/11 anniversary, terrorism, public safety
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: Poll Shows 61 Percent Alarmed About Presidential Election
Paleologos on the Poll: Voters are Deeply Divided and Fearful
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between June 26 and June 29, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who intend to vote in the general election in November 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. The margin of error for the Democratic primary/caucus subset of 340 likely voters is +/-5.3 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary/caucus subset of 309 likely voters is +/5.6 percentage points. The margin of error for the 456 Clinton voters is +/-4.6 percentage points. The margin of error for the 404 Trump voters is +/4.9 percentage points. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Gary Johnson, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, gun control, Muslim immigration, assault weapons, no-fly list
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: Poll Shows Turmoil, Possible Defections, Among GOP Voters
Paleologos on the Poll: Major Challenges Ahead for the GOP
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between April 20 and April 24, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who intend to vote in the general election in November of 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. The margin of error for the Democratic primary/caucus subset of 363 likely voters is +/-5.1 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary/caucus subset of 292 likely voters is +/5.7 percentage points.
Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, John Kasich, Ted Cruz, Donald Trump, Democratic National Convention, Republican National Convention, superdelegates
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: Poll Shows Clinton & Trump Holding Primary Leads
Paleologos on the Poll: From New Hampshire to the Nation
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between February 11 and February 15, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, who intend to vote in 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document above. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. The margin of error for the Democratic primary/caucus subset of 319 likely voters is +/-5.5 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary/caucus subset of 358 likely voters is +/5.2 percentage points.
Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump, Michael Bloomberg, Zika virus
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: GOP Leaders Running Neck-and-Neck with Clinton
Paleologos on the Poll: In a Close Election, the 'Unfaves' Will Matter
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between December 2 and December 6, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, and who intend to vote in 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. The margin of error for the Democratic primary/caucus subset of 363 likely voters is +/- 5.1 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary/caucus subset of 357 likely voters is +/- 5.2 percentage points.
Key Names/Issues: Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Glimore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Planned Parenthood, ISIS, terrorism
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Releases:
Nationwide Poll Shows Clinton Leading Democratic Field - October 1, 2015Paleologos on the Poll:
Breaking Down Clinton's Lead - October 1, 2015
The 2016 Gang of Six - September 30, 2015
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted between September 24 and September 28, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, and who intend to vote in 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. The margin of error for the Republican primary subset of 380 voters is +/- 5.03 percentage points. The margin of error for the Democratic primary subset of 430 voters is +/- 4.7 percentage points.
Key Names/Issues: Planned Parenthood, government shutdown, Barack Obama, US Congress, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Larry Lessig, Martin O'Malley, Jim Webb, Islam, Muslims, State Department emails, Benghazi
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Releases:
Suffolk University/USA TODAY Poll Shows Clinton Holding Strong Lead among Democrats across the Nation -- July 15, 2015
Suffolk University/USA TODAY Poll Shows Trump on Top with GOP Voters Nationwide -- July 14, 2015
Paleologos on the Poll: General Election 'Dangerously Close' for Clinton
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1,000 adults was conducted between July 9 and July 12, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age or older, residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, and who intend to vote in 2016. Quota and demographic information -- including region, race, and age -- were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landlines (65 percent) and cell phones (35 percent) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into four general regions. Respondents in the households were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson, Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee, Chris Christie, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Bobby Jindal, Carly Fiorina, John Kasich, Linsdey Graham, George Pataki, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Jim Webb, Martin O'Malley, Lincoln Chafee, Obamacare, same-sex marriage, immigration, ISIS
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: America Divided on Gun Laws
Paleologos on the Poll: Confederate Flag and Gun Laws
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1000 adults was conducted between June 25 and June 29, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age and older residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Each state’s quota and demographic information - including region, race, and age - were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline (65%) and cell phones (35%) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into 4 general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document which follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: South Carolina shooting, Confederate flag, gun control, racism, American currency
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: Congress Should Have Role in Iran Deal
Paleologos on the Poll: Gay Marriage
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1000 adults was conducted between April 8th and April 13th, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age and older residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Each state’s quota and demographic information - including region, race, and age - were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline (65%) and cell phones (35%) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into 4 general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document which follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Key Names/Issues: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Scott Walker, Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, Ben Carson, Marco Rubio, US Congress, Iran, same-sex marriage, religious freedom, terrorism, Oklahoma City bombing
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: Rich Get Richer and Government Holds the Key; Split Decision on Obama's Handling of Economy
Paleologos on the Poll: A Lukewarm View of the Economy
Statement of Methodology: This survey of 1000 adults was conducted between January 21st and January 25th, 2015, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults 18 years of age and older residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Each state’s quota and demographic information - including region, race, and age - were determined from 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline (65%) and cell phones (35%) were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each state were proportional to the number of adult residents in each state. States were grouped into 4 general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. Surveys were administered in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document which follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Unlikely/Unregistered Voters with USA TODAY
August 15, 2012
Political opinion polls usually confine themselves to seeking out registered, likely voters. But what about the millions of adult U.S. citizens who are eligible to vote and choose not to?
The Suffolk University Political Research Center and USA TODAY have partnered to find out what these 80 million Americans think – who they support for president, what their opinions are on national issues and why they aren’t participating in their country’s civic process. Every other poll being conducted is talking to the usual cadre of registered and likely voters. This exclusive poll is the first of its kind – a study of everyone else! As the fall election season gets into high gear, find out what the rest of America is thinking. Can solid blue or red states turn swing? What might increased participation do to the electoral map? Complete results are posted below and are available in the print and online editions of USA TODAY.
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Statement of Methodology (PDF)
Press Release: Obama Would Cruise to Victory if Non-Voters Participate
Poll Documents:
Marginals (PDF)
Tables (PDF)
Press Release: National Poll Shows Obama Leading Romney by 10 Points
Statement of Methodology: The nationwide survey of 1,070 United States likely voters was conducted March 21-25, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence.
